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Misery Index

The U.S. Misery Index

Submitted by Roanman on Sat, 02/12/2011 - 06:52

 

MiseryIndex.us maintains a number of charts for the historic US Misery Index including monthly misery charts, comparative misery by President as well as by Congress along with individual charts for historic unemployment, and rate of inflation respectively.

The chart below displays yearly misery, or the lack thereof, by President.

Click on the chart below to reach MiseryIndex.us.

Not quite as miserable an experience as you might think.

Blue is unemployment, Red is inflation.

 

The misery index was initiated by economist Arthur Okun, an adviser to President Lyndon Johnson in the 1960's. It is simply the unemployment rate added to the inflation rate. It is assumed that both a higher rate of unemployment and a worsening of inflation both create economic and social costs for a country. A combination of rising inflation and more people out of work implies a deterioration in economic performance and a rise in the misery index. 

 

  And the award for most miserable Presidency goes to ... in a landslide ... Jimmy Carter.

Which might explain why Mr. Carter is our single most miserable ex-President.

 

International Misery Index

Submitted by Roanman on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 18:01

 

From Bryan Rich at Money and Markets via R.E. McMaster.

Click the chart below for the entire article.

 

This dangerous combination of persistent unemployment and rapidly rising food inflation isn’t just specific to North Africa and the Middle East. Global unemployment remains at record levels. And world food prices rose to a record in January.

The expanding unrest is most vulnerable in those countries with low per capita income, where people may spend as much as 70 percent of their income on food. Moreover, the threat of civil disorder rises when those countries have significant income inequality and/or have gone through major economic stress where the outlook for a return to normalcy looks bleak.

In this environment, there are many countries that fit the bill. Take a look at how risks in other parts of the world stack up against Egypt and Tunisia.

The table below is a gauge of economic misery across the biggest countries in the world. This index was created by a former economic advisor to President Lyndon Johnson, Arthur Okun. It simply takes the sum of inflation and unemployment rates. According to his index, the higher the index value the more miserable life is in these countries.

 

 

The US is at 11% only if you believe that inflation statistics shouldn't include food and fuel.

 

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