The Bradley Model

Cheri frequents the Justthinking.us Facebook page.

Last week in the midst of an unfortunate dustup over there: the result of my introduction to the post having to do with Indian women consulting their astrologer over when to schedule their C-sections, she offered the following thought.

She then asked the following question, 

"Tell us what you think about women in India using astrology to determine the best date for a Ceasarian birth.

I'd really like to hear your thoughts on that.

Seriously."

I've heard that question an easy 25 or 30 times from the regulars over here who slogged through all of the "Bradley Model" posts and the "Summer of Doom" series without ever ..... ever (with the continued exception of Kluck, and EricO, that's never) posting a comment.

No ........ they have to call or email or worse yet barge into my office without an appointment offering all kinds of speculation regarding my general mental health, likely paranoia and questions of competency, only because I have challenged their comfy little view of the world.

You know who you are...

Anyway, here's what I think.

 As previously discussed.

1 In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth.

2 The earth was without form, and void; and darkness was[a] on the face of the deep. And the Spirit of God was hovering over the face of the waters.
3 Then God said, “Let there be light”; and there was light.

4 And God saw the light, that it was good; and God divided the light from the darkness .........

.......... 14 Then God said, “Let there be lights in the firmament of the heavens to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs and seasons, and for days and years;

Here's what else I think.

Ecclesiastes 1 To everything there is a season, A time for every purpose under heaven:
2 A time to be born, And a time to die; A time to plant, And a time to pluck what is planted;
3 A time to kill, And a time to heal; A time to break down, And a time to build up;
4 A time to weep, And a time to laugh; A time to mourn, And a time to dance;
5 A time to cast away stones, And a time to gather stones; A time to embrace, And a time to refrain from embracing;
6 A time to gain, And a time to lose; A time to keep, And a time to throw away;
7 A time to tear, And a time to sew; A time to keep silence, And a time to speak;
8 A time to love, And a time to hate; A time of war, And a time of peace.

Now, I will cheerfully admit here that my world view is somewhat different from that of most people.

I believe this to be the result of my having the more common than you might think "Germanic Genetic Funk Mutation" wherein I have possessed from birth almost incredibly good rhythm ....... for a white boy.

More common than you think in that this gene is has also been found in Axel Zwingenberger, Tibor Grasser, Martin Pyrker, as well as all of the individual members of Kraftwork.

Life moves in rhythm.

The Earth and the Sun provide your daily and yearly rhythm.

We know that both the human mind and body feels the effect of changes in the various radiations emanating from the Sun.

The Moon provides the rhythm within your months.

We know that the gravitational pull of the moon drives the tides.

We also know that the human body is predominately made up of water (about 60% in adult males, 55% in females).

If the movement of the moon drives the tides, is it outlandish to suspect that it may promote changes within the human body?

All of the planets and their respective moons emit or reflect a variety of forces and/or emanations which ebb and flow as they make their way around the Sun.

Nothing in life is static.

Our lives are influenced by countless cycles.

Fibonacci surrounds us.

The Sun heats up, it coooools down.

When something gets in it's way ..... sorry ..... I just couldn't help myself there.

Up north here, we all know that the days lengthen in the spring and that summer is on it's way as the Earth rotates on it's axis.

South of the equator at the very instant you are basking in the knowledge that summer is on it's way, someone is mourning it's passing.

Is it that outlandish to suppose that the single most profound of all of those cycles that surround us, the respective orbits and rotations of the planets that make up our solar system, has an effect on our world, our bodies, our lives?

I don't think so.

If you recall from previous discussions .......... any of the tags below will take you to the entire series of posts.

Green is good, Red is bad, Purple isn't terrible, but it ain't all that great either.

Just one lonely little green dot where Saturn, The Moon, Venus and Mars conjunct (sharing about 6 degrees of space).

I've received well over a hundred emails on the Bradley/Cardinal Cross/Summer of Doom postings.

As usual, nobody has had the stones to comment here, not even the heretofor praised Kluck.

It has been fun to evaluate the responses with what I know about the responders.

Oh yes, you are all being evaluated ........... constantly.

Form mostly has held.

Mockers have mocked, skeptics have skepted.

Skept?

The more serious of my Christian friends at this site (a clear majority) have been a little startled by the biblical references that have been ........... ummmmm ............ referenced.

While the markets have mostly held, and maybe even strengthened some ........... so far.

The one thing that cannot be denied is that madness is everywhere, some of it mostly expected, some of it just flat out off the wall.

But madness is mostly always just around the corner, isn't it?

Of course.

The Earth itself has been behaving badly.

We've had massive fires, massive floods, mud slides, earthquakes, and oppressive heat everywhere in the Northern Hemisphere.

We've had a record freeze kill millions of tropical fish in the Southern Hemisphere.

Now we have the Sun firing up and bombarding planet Earth with "a coronal mass ejection".

I keep thinking I might like to have one of those for myself.

But,this kind of stuff is always going on, right?

Yup.

But has it ever felt this intense?

Have you ever felt the fear this thick?

Among my favorites of the several dozen platitudes I like to throw around is,

"Feelings are a lie".

The follow up statement being, "Have you ever had some feeling about a certain set of circumstances that proved to be just completely incorrect?"

Of course ...............

............. But then again.

To quote any number of the first generation Dago contractors I've known and loved,

"Ima don't know. Ya know?"

You will remember from previous discussions, Green is good, Red is bad, Purple isn't terrible, but it ain't all that helpful either.

Oopsies, no Green!!!!! 

From my friend Richard Nolle,

"The workplace shooting in Connecticut and the school massacre in China, the fires in California, Canada and Russia, the border skirmish between Israel and Lebanon, the grenade tossed at Iranian President Ahmadinejad, the riots in Karachi, Kashmir and Dhaka, and a rash of crashes including today’s multivehicle pile-up (including two packed school buses) in Missouri: it’s the stuff of headlines all month so far. It’s also, pretty much word for word, the stuff of my August forecast, published last month: 

The fires, crashes, clashes and explosions that accompanied theMars-Saturn conjunction of late July are bound to continue well into August, with the Red Planet and the Ringed Planet staying so close in alignment for so long. Arguably, because it feeds into the Great T-Square pattern (which include Venus, up to mid-month), this looks to be more or less continuous through the 13th, with peaks around the 1st and 13th. It’s a cycle that operates at the individual as well as collective levels, from domestic violence and accidents to riots and rampages to spectacular mass-transport crashes; from spree killings and mass murders to military and paramilitary clashes. No global thermonuclear war stuff shows up, just threats and probes, surgical strikes and strategic assassinations, war lords and drug cartels mowing each other down . . . “ 

Now, the argument can been made that this kind of stuff goes on all the time, and I mostly agree.

Except at this instant it all feels a lot more intense to me.

In my little community, the little blind guy who has been walking around town for probably 20 years without incident was attacked by a gang of our local idiots, beaten with his own cane, and robbed.

My young friend Evan's dog was attacked by an enraged Muskrat.

Now, that don't happen everyday.

With regards to "The Bradley Model" as it pertains to the Stock Market?

Not so much.

More on that, Saturday.

And just in case, keep keeping your head on a swivel.

I'm back to my cheerful pursuit of monitoring The Bradley Model        and it's prognosticative powers as we approach the doom period of the summer of 2010.

If you remember from our previous discussions, Red is bad, Green is good, Purple isn't terrible, but it ain't all that helpful either.

The last of the good is abating this day.

We shall see.

In the interest of full disclosure, I'll begin this post by stating unequivocally that I only sort of know what I'm talking about here.

And ......

Let me continue by offering the following two words to those of you who find yourselves reflexively reaching for your telephone.

Caller ID.

You will remember from previous discussions having to do with the Bradley Model, found here, here, and of course over there.

The summer of 2010 reeks of doom.

And so far, considering a monumental ecological disaster in the Gulf of Mexico, not one, but two active volcanos thinking about erupting in Iceland, an extremely impressive meltdown of the world's #2 reserve currency, the governments of the eighth and twelfth (I think) largest economies in the world (California and New York) teetering on the brink of bankcrupcy, and ..... as a sweetner a couple of carrier groups and a nuclear armed submarine either heading for or already in the Persian Gulf ...

I'm giving the thing high scores for accuracy.

So ... just what exactly is the Bradley Model ... ummmm ... modeling ... viewing ... following ... I dunno ... doing.

As I explained once before.

It is simply charting the sum (positive or negative) of a set of mathematical values Mr. Bradley attached to the angles of relationship between the Sun, the Moon, and the planets within an astrological chart.

Planets in relationship of or near 0, 60, 90, 120 and 180 degrees were considered and a value (again positive or negative) was assigned each.

The positive or negative values were assigned on the basis of the historic consensus having to do with the benefic, or malefic qualities of each planet within each angular relationship between the planets.

Got it this time?

Don't worry about it.  Here's all you gotta know.

Up is good, down is bad.

Here it is again.

Here's the Bradley Model for 2010 from Amanita.

.

The following is the daily astrological chart taken for exactly 12 noon of June 19, 2010 at Chicago illinois,USA.

It is a chart exactly like the following from which the calculations were created/taken to create the above charts.

Got that?

Don't worry about it.

Green is good, Red is bad, Purple isn't terrible, but it ain't all that helpful either..

Why noon? Why Chicago?

Just being arbitrary.

Now .....I know exactly what you're thinking here.

Huh? ... or worse.

I understand completely and I am here to help you.

If you want to, you can safely ignore everything from here, all the way to ......

To begin with, you need to know the planets.

The purple 4 at about 9 o'clock is Jupiter.

On the positive side, Jupiter represents prosperity, growth, expansion.

On the negative side, Jupiter is inflation, over eating (spiritual, economic or physical) mistakes from overconfidence.

The light blue oval also wearing a crown at also at about 9 o'clock is Uranus.

Uranus is sudden, unexpected, explosive happenings, accidents.

Uranus is also genius, intuition, vision and breakthroughs.

The dark green th looking thing at 3 o'clock is Saturn. 

On the positive side, Saturn is common sense, practical, steady, discipline, structure.

On the negative side, Saturn is hard lessons, limits, obstruction, it's the ass kicking you typically get when you screw up.

The pink cup holding a ball is Pluto.

Pluto is endings and new beginnings, death and birth, upheaval, transformation, destruction, power struggles, revolution, crime, secret police, spies, hidden things, mines and wells.

The purple pitchfork at about 10 o'clock is Neptune.

Neptune is inspiration, spirituality, sensitivity, idealism, self sacrifice, utopia, collective society, dreams, glamor, fantasy, illusion, delusion, deceit, fog, fumes, drugs, alcohol and addictions.

The golden dot within a circle at about 6 o'clock is the Sun.

The Sun is the individual, the authentic self, the will and the ego.

It also represents the national leader, power, authority.

The silver crescent is of course the Moon.

The Moon is the unconscious mind, that which you know without thinking.

In mundane astrology it is the people, the masses and women.

The red sign of the male is of course Mars, the god of war with all that implies.

The sign of the female is Venus, the goddess of love.

The little brown horny looking thing at about 6:30 is Mercury.

Mercury is thinking, communication, transportation.

Mercury is also writers, agents, public speakers, travelers, and tricksters.

..... here.

Planets sharing the same point of the circle tend to cooperate, or excite one another.

Planets at in opposite points of the circle conflict with each other (Red Lines).

Planets at 90 degree angles create friction between themselves (Red Lines).

Planets at 60 or 120 degree angles tend to assist one other (Green Lines).

Got all that?

At the risk of becoming redundant, don't worry about it.

Green is good, red is bad, purple isn't terrible, but it ain't all that helpful either.

We continue (all the while pushing the boundaries of Drupal).

All right, here's June 26, 2010, still noon in Chicago.

The reds thicken as the planets cluster in squares and opposition.

June 29, 2010, green disappears.

July 2, 2010 the greens return as the Moon makes nice with the Sun and Mercury, and the Sun and Mercury make nice with Mars (always a good thing).

 On July 23, 2010 the Moon plays nice with Neptune, while Uranus and Jupiter spend some quality time with the Sun who continues to make nice with Mars (still a good thing).

By July 27, 2010 much of the niceness is tapering off, leaving lots af opposition, friction, exciting and little else.

Red lines thicken as green lines disappear.

Until on August 6, 2010 all niceness disappears again as Uranus and Jupiter stand together in opposition with Venus, Saturn and Mars (never a good thing).

Until on August 7, 2010 the formation becomes complete as the Moon and Pluto also oppose each other while squaring everyone else.

The "Cardinal Cross".

It's Cardinal because of a bunch of stuff I don't have the energy to go into right now, but you can trust me on this one.

To quote Fred Fenster once again,

"This is very bad."

There remains much opposition and friction until the end of August.

Feel free to think me nuts.

Gold and Cash.

Maybe oil.

Short something else if you have the cajones.

I have ... a little.

If you remember .....

In our last two episodes of The Bradley Model we discussed the fact that an outstanding opportunity to test the model's predictive powers was upon us beginning March 1, 2010.

Click the chart below for the amanita.at site.

We also discussed the caveat invariably issued by Bradley believers that the model is better suited for predicting turning points than for determining market direction.

To which I say rude noise (pick your favorite).

I want my models to make me rich by virtue of infallible predictive power.

Maybe I am being unreasonable, but that's what I want.

So, as disclosed earlier, I'm short of the S&P 500 (to quote Dennis Gartman) and pretty damn happy.

Long of Gold, Canadian and U.S. Cash and pretty damn happy about that as well.

Below is the S&P 500 from December 2009 to May 21, 2010.

It doesn't physically line up with the Bradley chart above, the vertical lines fall on March 1, April 1 and May 1 respectively.

So you're gonna have to line it up in your own mind's eye.

And the verdict?

Not horrible.

3/1 turned up, as did app. 4/1.

You can figure out the rest for yourself. 

You can do what you want, but with the possible exception of more Gold, I'm not buying anything much before the middle of August.

OK, here's the Bradley Model for the years 2008-10 from Manfred Zimmel.

All of the Bradley Model charts link to his site aminita.at.

I don't as of yet have much experience with aminita.at.

They aren't cheap.

I am.

So far it's been an emotional back and forth.

I downloaded their 2009 report after it went free. It was pretty right on.

As was my friend Richard Nolle at astropro.com

The second chart is that of the S&P 500 for 2008.

You will notice that the 2008 Bradley chart catches both the June turning point and the September dive of all things financial.

The 2009 hit pretty close the February turning point, then caught the turn, but flat out missed the accelerating upward drive from July through the end of the year.

Which brings me to the caveat in bright red ink stamped right there on the chart.

The Bradley predicts turning points ONLY and not the polarity, i.e. a high in the chart may also be a low, and vice versa.

I don't like that. C'mon, grow a pair!!!

.

I do the same thing for each chart, on one I get a frame, the other no.  Makes me nutsl!!!

The reason I bring all this up?

Another test for "The Bradley" occurs March 1, 2010 through August 10, 2010

Now you're warned.

As for me, I'm gonna enjoy life over here on the sidelines.

OK, OK I'll admit it.

I'm short a little.

Seems prudent. 

The Bradley Model is a chart constructed on a set of astrological parameters defined by Donald A. Bradley in his famed 1948 book, Stock Market Prediction (The Planetary Barometer and How to Use it).

The foreward, by Llewellyn George begins as follows:

"Although this text is not primarily intended to be a stock market forecaster, yet by judicious operators it is quite likely to become their most valued treasure for anticipating trends and changes which are due to mass mind activity.

It tells how to properly chart that psychological activity in compliance with well known planetary forces."

OK, now I understand fully that your first inclination here will be to laugh like hell, and go to chaneling Festus, who once famously said to the apostle Paul, "You are beside yourself!  Much learning is driving you mad!"

Especially those of you who insist on picking up the telephone in order to offer a personal harangue over any mostly innocent notion I may have that doesn't correspond perfectly with your own personal world view.

YOU KNOW WHO YOU ARE !!!

Before you go there however, consider this.

If you're a Christian, and I know for a fact that a mess of you are.

On the fourth day, God himself said, and I'm quoting here,

"Let there be lights in the firmament of the heavens to divide the day from the night; and let them be for signs and seasons, and for days and years."

The word Lunacy is derived from the same root as the word Lunar, Luna the Roman moon goddess. This relationship extends to other languages, most notably Welsh where these two words are lloer and lloerig.

Regardless of you spiritual inclination, anecdotal evidence persists regarding police department and emergency rooms ramping up during full moons, although there is almost no scientific or statistical evidence of any correlation between the full moon and increased crime, emergency room visits, births or anything else.  

Almost without exception, every study that has been able to demonstrate any correlation between the full moon and any studied event has been subsequently debunked.  What's most interesting here is that the debunkers almost universally believe in "Global Warming" (Just Kidding)

The Chart below is that for the "Bradley Model" calculated from about 1840 through about 2040.

It is simply charting the sum (positive or negative, zero is down the middle) of a set of mathematical values Bradley attached to the angles of relationship between the Sun, the Moon, and the planets that make up our solar system.

Planets in relationship of or near 0, 60, 90, 120 and 180 degrees were considered and a value (again positive or negative) was assigned each.

The positive or negative values were assigned on the basis of the historic consensus having to do with the benefic, or malefic qualities of each planet within each angular relationship between the planets.

Got that?

Don't worry about it.  Here's all you gotta know.

Just look at the chart, up is good, down is bad.

It catches the "The Panic of 1873", which began "The Long Depression" which according to the National Bureau of Economic Research lasted until March 1979, a total of 65 months and longer by nearly a year and a half than "The Great Depression"

Take note of the extremely low, low point that so nicely corresponds with the "Crash of 29" stock market descent that extended from 9/3/29 until about 7/32, and the mostly continuous lows during "The Great Depression".

It catches "The Panic of 1910", the "Black Monday" crash of October 19, 1987.

And, how bout that big fat high point sitting over the middle to late 1990's.

Now, let's consider the summer of 2010.

Whoa!!!

DANGER WILL ROBINSON, DANGER!!!

(The above was a time continuum joke)

Your Uncle Roany is in Cash (Mostly Canadian) and Gold!!!

I'm just sayin.